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The Fish go 2-5 on their seas
06-13-2019, 11:57 AM,
The Fish go 2-5 on their seas
on-opening homestand Alex Bregman Jersey , but continue to make superior teams sweat with late-inning rallies."WhiteFanposts Sections News & RumorsAnalysisPodcastsProspects & DraftGame CoverageFull ArchiveMasthead Social Marlins Players on TwitterFish Stripes on InstagramMarlins Media Members Fish Stripes Best of 2018 Marlins StoriesScheduleRosterStatsCommunity Guidelines StubHub iami Marlins Game CoverageDominant deGrom sets career high; Marlins’ rally falls shortNew,1commentThe Fish go 2-5 on their season-opening homestand, but continue to make superior teams sweat with late-inning rallies.EDTShareTweetShareShareDominant deGrom sets career high; Marlins’ rally falls shortSam Navarro-USA TODAY SportsMIAMI, Fla.—What do you do when JacobdeGrom maxes out his fastball at 98.8 MPH and mixes in changeups averaging 88.9 MPH? You strike out 14 times. Despite the Miami Marlins’ offense out-performing expectations in a small sample size so far this season, they couldn't get anything going against deGrom, who led the Mets to a 6-4 win Wednesday night.Your browser does not support HTML5 video.deGrom pitched a seven shutout innings and set a career record with those 14 Ks. One night removed from having runners in scoring position in every inning, the Fish only got one man in scoring position through eight innings. Starting pitcher Trevor Richards struggled early. Amed Rosario opened the scoring in the second inning with an RBI triple. Things got away from Richards even more in the third. deGrom gave himself some help with a solo home run to start the inning.Your browser does not support HTML5 video.Richards then walked Brandon Nimmo, and proceeded to allow an RBI double. But Richards kept his composure and retired the next eight batters he faced. After the troublesome third inning, he only gave up one hit. He also collected seven strikeouts.Nick Anderson gave up a run in relief of Richards.The Marlins got into more trouble in the eighth when a fielding error by Miguel Rojas at SS allowed J.D. Davis to reach base and eventually score. Later in the inning, Dominic Smith hit a grounder right off the lip of the infield dirt, causing it to bounce over Starlin Castro in shallow left field.All hope seemed lost going into the bottom of the ninth, down 6-0. But for the third time in this series, the Marlins made things interesting late in the game. With runners on first and second, MartnPrado hit an RBI double for Miami’s first run of the game. (He’s very quietly slashing .500/.529/.625 in a part-time role.) LewisBrinson, MiguelRojas , and RosellHerrera also drove in runs. With two out and a runner on first, former Met CurtisGranderson represented the tying run. But just like last night, the Fish came up just short. Granderson flied out to left field, finally sealing the series sweep.The Marlins have their first off day of the season on Thursday before traveling to Atlanta. Pablo Lpez will make his second start of 2019. He pitched decently last Saturday, giving up 3 ER in 5.1 IP.Mets vs. Marlins box score ( Picks answer keyMetsOverOverYesMets Though they say you can’t predict baseball, still we all try."WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections Twinkie Town Farm ReportSatire, Irreverence, & Other HumorGame RecapsPredictions fromFiveThirtyEight and ESPN show contrasting results for TwinsNew,2commentsThough they say you can’t predict baseball, still we all try.EDTShareTweetShareSharePredictions fromFiveThirtyEight and ESPN show contrasting results for TwinsThat’s a thermometer, not a projected win total.Brad Rempel-USA TODAY SportsIn advance of Opening Day for teams that aren’t Seattle and Oakland, sports websites, including the one you’re reading, are releasing their 2019 MLB predictions. Two popular sites, FiveThirtyEight and ESPN Brian McCann Jersey , published theirs Wednesday morning. The sites reached their conclusions differently - FiveThirtyEight simulated the season 100,000 times and relies on analytics for statistical projections, while ESPN polled 31 in-house baseball experts - but did they end up with the same results? Let’s see.(If you’d like to read them as well, here are the links to FiveThirtyEight’s and ESPN’s predictions, as well as those to the former’s AL “Favorites and Breakout Picks” and the latter’s power rankings. I’ve included each in my comparison.)Division resultsAs expected, both FiveThirtyEight and ESPN project the Cleveland Indians to claim the AL Central. FiveThirtyEight predicts Cleveland will finish the season with a 95-67 record, tied for third-best in the major leagues, while ESPN’s experts are similarly bullish, with 28 of their prognosticators selecting the Indians. Their power rankings (ranked by poll, but with predicted records and World Series odds calculated by one person) put Cleveland seventh in the league, winning the division with a 92-70 mark.While there’s not a lot of divergence regarding Minnesota’s placement, there is when it comes to record. Sorting the teams by their ELO rating, FiveThirtyEight puts the Twins 16th, second in the AL Central with an average but still respectable 84 wins and 78 losses. ESPN also guesses that the Twins will come in second - only three experts give the Twins the Central crown - and slots them similarly in their power rankings (17th), but projects them to win just 78 games , exactly the reverse of FiveThirtyEight’s average simulation.Why the six-game difference - a difference that shifts Minnesota from a winning season to a losing one? We have access to more details of FiveThirtyEight’s predictions than ESPN’s, so it’s possible to extrapolate a guess.Option 1: IntradivisionalOne detail we can directly compare is intradivisional success. worse against the weaker teams in the AL and demonstrate that they can be as mediocre as anyone. Both models rank seven teams below the Twins. Three of those are AL Central competition, so we will exclude them for now. FiveThirtyEight ranks the Angels below Minnesota, but it’s ESPN we’re looking at, so I will leave them out as well.The teams we are now examining are thus:Seattle Mariners (21st, 21st)Toronto Blue Jays (23rd, 22nd)Texas Rangers (25th, 25th)Baltimore Orioles (30th, 30th)And their predicted records areTongueredicted bottom AL teams 2019TeamFiveThirtyEightESPNTeamFiveThirtyEightESPNFinally, ESPN totals more wins than FiveThirtyEight... but just a single W. And the Orioles gain four on their own. Something’s up here.Only one variable in the Twins’ schedule remains:Option 4: InterleagueThe Twins play 20 games against National League opponents during the 2019 season:three against the Philadelphia Phillies,four against the New York Mets,four against the Milwaukee Brewers,three against the Miami Marlins,three against the Atlanta Braves,and Tyler Clippard Jersey , completing the NL East (plus Milwaukee), three against the Washington Nationals.Comparing their records, we haveTongueredicted interleague opponents 2019TeamFiveThirtyEightESPNTeamFiveThirtyEightESPNAt last, ESPN bumps four wins off the Twins. It’s not six, but it’s the closest we’ve gotten. As this final option accounts for the remaining teams on their schedule, it’s as far as we will get.Of course, not all extra wins or losses will come against Minnesota, but it’s fascinating how two teams can be considered in the middle of the pack, yet if one prediction were to come to pass, it would be considered far superior to the other based on a difference of just six games.

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