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Here is a link to a simplified version of the board.The
01-20-2020, 12:14 PM,
#1
Here is a link to a simplified version of the board.The
In a year when the Bears have limited ammunition in the draft Mitchell Trubisky Color Rush Jersey , it’s more important than ever that they get their picks right."Being who you thought we were since 2005!Log In or Sign UpLog InSign UpFanpostsFanshotsSectionsBearsOddsAboutMastheadCommunity GuidelinesStubHubMoreAll 322 blogs on Horizontal - WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections Latest NewsThe Bears DenNotesXs and OsSuperfansFrom The Desk Of...NFL DraftChicago Bears Draft 2019WCG Confidence Board: Version 1.0New,12commentsIn a year when the Bears have limited ammunition in the draft, it’s more important than ever that they get their picks right.CDTShareTweetShareShareWCG Confidence Board: Version 1.0Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY SportsThis is the return of my “confidence board.” It began as a project I used to cross-check my own scoring of college players, and last year I decided to make the board public. The basic idea is that if I gather multiple opinions from across the NFL draft guru community, then it should be possible to come up with a pool of candidates well-regarded enough that it is possible to be confident in their prospects. If I am being fully honest, as a Bears fan this year is much less interesting to follow the draft than it has been in years past, and so this board is likely only to see a total of two iterations.My methodology is simple. I only use public boards that rank either Top 10 by position or Top 100 overall, and I am only using one board per guru (for example, if a site has both a “position ranking” and a “top 100” ranking, then I am only using the more recent of the two). I am in no way weighting boards or privileging one over another. There are boards I disagree with and boards that I like. The goal here is to have an reference point independent of my own biases.As for scoring Pat O'Donnell Jersey , the top prospect on each board, by position or overall, gets a perfect score. Everyone else gets a portion of that (for example, the second-best position player gets a 90% score, and the second-best overall player gets a 99% score). I am fully aware I could do some sophisticated regressions to get even more confident, but this is an exercise in gathering raw data. I’m not looking to invent a proprietary metric. This first edition includes boards from Walter Football (3-16), Luke Easterling (3-6), DraftTek (3-09), CBS Sports (Undated, but accessed 3-28) https://www.thebearsfanshop.com/Kyle-Long-Jersey , Draft Network (4-10), Gil Brandt (4-15), and Vinnie Iver (4-10). In the next edition, I will hope to include a few more. If you have a public board you would like to see me include, leave me a note in the comments section. I will not include anything that only lists Top 5 by position or Top 50 players. I also do not touch mock drafts, which are a different beast entirely. Some familiar faces, like Kiper and Mayock, are absent. That’s because Kiper is behind a paywall and Mayock is busy doing other things.Here is a link to a simplified version of the board.The top 10 on this board should not be a surprise to anyone, and most of them get at least a 90% of the maximum possible score. Bosa, Williams Tom Waddle Color Rush Jersey , and Allen are all expected to be monsters (97%-plus), while Taylor and Oliver suggest this is a good draft who like football played in the trenches, so to speak (even the intrusion of Devin White at #5 is not a huge break from this trend). Metcalf (#7), Hockenson (#8), and Murray (#9) are actually the highest-rated offensive skills players on the board, and Josh Jacobs is both the highest running back and the only player in the top ten with a score less than 90%.When it comes to where the Bears will be drafting, things get more interesting. Here are the players ranked 75-100, or basically in the “Bears’ zone” when it comes to this draft:In RangeRankPlayerPositionScoreRankPlayerPositionScoreThese players might be in range for the BearsOf these, I personally like Hooker and the EDGE prospects, but I have given up on the thought that I will actually be able to anticipate what Ryan Pace is going to do in any given draft.Ultimately Sam Acho Jersey , it’s likely that anyone the Bears draft is going to be someone the boards are inconsistent on. If someone is available, it will likely be because that player is known to be moderately promising or is contentious in some way. It always seems like this team finds new ways to win throughout the week. When the Chicago Bears hired Matt Nagy in January of this year, we all expected for improvements to place beginning in year one. With all respects being paid to the history of this franchise, Matt Nagy’s debut season in Chicago was not only successful, it was unprecedented. So much so, that the writers for the Associated Press have named Matt Nagy as their Coach of the Year for 2018 so far. The story was originally published by Josh Dubow of the Associated Press in his article titled, Chicago’s Matt Nagy picked by AP writers top coach in 2018. EDITOR: The title of the article make sit seem like this is the actual award, but the body of his article is more vague, so we’re not really sure... {Insert shrug emoji here}A panel of 10 AP writers voted on which head coach was doing the best job in 2018, and Nagy received 7 of the 10 first place votes. The actual award will be revealed in February at the NFL Honors show. Seattle’s Pete Carroll was second in this mini-poll for having the 8-5 Seahawks in prime position for a wildcard spot in the NFC. If coach Nagy does win the real award https://www.thebearsfanshop.com/Devin-Hester-Jersey , he’ll be the first Chicago Bears head coach since Lovie Smith in 2005 to be named for this honor. Nagy would also be the fifth coach in franchise history to winfollowing these gentlemen: George Halas (‘63, ‘65) Mike Ditka (‘85, ‘88)Dick Jauron (‘01) Lovie Smith (‘05) Considering that two of those coaches have gone to the Super Bowl (Smith and Ditka) with another pair being members of the Hall of Fame (Halas and Ditka), that is some good company to be included with (if he were to win the award in February). Also, all those coaches won the NFC North during the season they were named to the award, which bodes well as an omen for the Bears this coming Sunday. Oh, and we can’t forget about Club Dub: Hopefully, Nagy wins the real deal the night before the Super Bowl, and hopefully general Manager Ryan Pace wins the NFL’s “Front Office Exec of the Year” award as well.
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